The Reds take a big step towards the Ohio Cup title with a 10-3 win against Cleveland

Reds starter Jeff Hoffman was shaky through the first three innings but escaped a major jam in the top of the third inning to keep the Reds deficit at 1-0. Indians start pitcher Logan Allen withdrew the game’s first seven batters with ease. The door opened for the Reds when Kyle Farmer reached the base due to a mistake and Tyler Stephenson was hit with bad luck.

Jeff Hoffman was ready to give up with a bunt, but Allen threw a wild field to put the runners in second and third place. The Reds’ luck continued when Hoffman kicked in a ball at an exit speed of only 65.1 mph.

The luck of the reds got so wild on one Jesse Winker RBI single that it literally broke Twitter Dot Com. Winkers single had an EV of 82.8 and an expected batting average of just 0.070.

Nick Castellanos singled to give the Reds a 3-1 lead. That haunted the Indians who started pitcher Logan Allen. They brought in Phil Matonand he had no better fortune. Eugenio Suarez drove in two more races with a double and an aggressive base from Castellanos.

Joey Votto Really put an exclamation point on the third inning when he hit a 2-run home run to give the Reds a 7-1 lead. It was Votto’s third home run in the last four games.

Jeff Hoffman has settled in and done well with the leadership. He came through six innings and allowed only one run. Tyler Stephenson had a 2-RBI double with charged bases and Nick Castellanos I really poured it with a solo home run to extend the Reds lead to 10-1. The Bullpen mostly did their job and the Reds finished with a 10-3 win.

Biggest game in the game

According to Fangraph’s WPA stats (win percentage added) it was the most important game of the game Amed RosarioThe solo home run in the second inning brought the Indians 1-0 lead. This game reduced the Reds’ chance of winning by 10.6% (from 52.4% to 41.8%). The biggest game for the Reds was Jesse WinkerThe RBI single is the third inning and puts the Reds 2-1 ahead. This game increased the Reds’ odds of winning by 8.8%.


Joey Votto continued his monster week with a home run and double. Votto has 3 home runs and 5 RBI in the last four games.

Nick Castellanos hit his 5th home run of the season. That connects him with Tyler Naquin for team leadership.

Called again Max Schrock had a success in his first career with the Reds.

Jeff Hoffman did the work for the reds tonight. He now has a sizzling 2.93 ERA of the season. Hoffman certainly got a bit of luck, but he still has a 4.44 FIP for the season. I think most of us would like to do that for him over a season.

Carson Fulmer threw another perfect inning. He now has an ERA of 1.04 (8.2 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 0 HR, 2 BB, 8 K)


Cionel Perez I made a scoreless inning but he walked another batsman. Perez has run 6 batters in 5.1 innings this season.

The Reds seem like a great pick up in the Bullpen out of season Cam Bedrosian keep fighting. He gave up a homer tonight.

Not so random thoughts …………….

The Reds are at least tied for first place, but the Pittsburgh Pirates are currently leading the Brewers 4-1. If this score applies, the Reds are alone in the first place. They would have a full two game lead over the Cardinals and a three game lead over the Cubbies. If the pirates hold out tonight, they’ll be 5-3 as they got swept by the Reds (they played the Cubs, Padres, and Brewers).


Red against Indians
Saturday, 4:10 p.m.
Television: Bally Sports Ohio
Sonny Gray versus Triston McKenzie (4.70 ERA)

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